Sunday, September 30, 2012

S & P 500 View for the week of 01.10.2012 to 05.10.2012


The weekly chart for S & P 500 shows the Fibo Fans from the top of 1576 and bottom of 666. The current move from the bottom of 1264 has had a run of more than 200 points on the index. A quick look on the rise shows that S & P 500 has never had a correction of more than 2 weeks in a row. This move is well defined by the channel  shown on the chart. The Fibo extension show a 100 % target at 1556 which is 20 points short of 1576 high. On the chart we see that we have had a correction of 2 weeks. For the next week the channel shows a support of 1430 which needs to be watched carefully and is very critical for this trend. The top end of the channel is at 1464 and above which we will have a breakout on the upside.  The 78.6% level on the Fibo extension is at 1440 level as seen on charts and incidentally this is the weekly close for the index. So  as long as the level of 1430 is maintained on the index there is always a possibility of reaching the 100% target of 1556 on the S & P 500. Below 1430 the level to be watched is 1388 which if breached will create doubts for the trend. So till S & P 500 is in this rising channel use the channel bottom as entry point and high for the channel as target with suitable stop loss. The monthly pivot for S & P 500 is at 1444 and the resistance are 1482 and 1521 and the supports are at 1406 and 1369.

Happy Trading !!!

Nifty View for 01.10.2012


Spot Nifty closed the week at 5703.30 highest close for the year. The trend from the low of December 2011 to this date is now 9 months old and still going strong. Above chart on nifty future shows the Fibo Fans from the top and bottom. A target of 5949 is seen at the cross-over of the fan lines. The current trend line marked on the chart if maintained will lead to the target. The monthly pivot for futures is at 5625 will act as support. So trend players should watch this level. The monthly targets are 5776(missed by 10 points on Friday) and 5929 (very near to the target of 5949 suggested by Fibo Fans). Intraday Traders can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Monday. Tuesday being a Holiday no update will be provided for nifty.

No trade between 5684 and 5722(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5722 sl of 5702


targets 5741-5760(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5779-5798-5817-5836-5855.


Sell below 5684  sl of 5704


targets 5665-5646(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5628-5609-5590-5572-5553.

Happy Trading !!!

Thursday, September 27, 2012

S&P 500 in Current Scenario


S & P 500 today has taken out the resistance of 1440..
Key level to watch will be the 1438 for this move...
Resistances are 1450-1456-1464
Supports are 1438-1428-1413

Happy Trading !!! 

Nifty View for 28.09.2012


At the end of this September expiry let us look at the big picture for Nifty. Above chart shows channels on nifty from Oct 2007 low, November 2010 high, December 2011 low  and June 2012 low. The bigger channel is a rising channel so trend is up from October 2007 lows. Second channel is sloping down so the trend was down from November 2010. Third and fourth channels from December 2011 and June 2012 shows us the trend is up. The short term channel is currently showing resistance but the bigger channel centre line looks to be the long term resistance. It would be interesting to watch the action on Nifty at that juncture. For October series the   pivot on nifty future is at 5625 and resistance on the upside are 5776-5929 and support on the downside are 5476-5329. Intraday traders can look at the levels on nifty futures given below to trade on Friday.

No trade between 5661 and 5709(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5709 sl of 5689


targets 5728-5747(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5766-5785-5804-5823-5842.


Sell below 5661  sl of 5681


targets 5652-5634(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5615-5596-5577-5559-5540.

Happy Trading !!!

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

S&P 500 Update for 27.09.2012


S&P 500 level to watch is 1428..
Breach of 1428 will possibly take to 1413..
Resistance at 1440 ..
Above 1440 recovery may start...

Happy Trading !!!


Nifty View for 27.09.2012


Another down day for spot nifty with the spot nifty opening negative recovering and giving the gains and then again recovering at the end of the day. The day played perfectly to tunes of option writers with premiums erosion being the mark of the day. With expiry tomorrow another interesting finish for the September series. On charts Nifty futures was near the supports of 5630 and recovered from there. The key level to be watched for tomorrow is 5630 if sustaining below 5650. This level has been defended in this correction for last three days. So will it be reached on expiry is to seen. Nifty futures are near our first support 5665 and next is 5625. Resistance on the upside are 5704 and 5744. Trend players need to wait out for the time being as money saved is money gained. Protect your capital because there can be good days in markets where you can earn huge amounts so bad days in markets are the days to be watched with minimum losses. Else you will give all the gains of the markets and may be in position of loosing your capital. Intraday traders can watch the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Thursday.


No trade between 5645 and 5682(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5682 sl of 5662


targets 5701-5720(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5739-5758-5777-5796-5815.


Sell below 5645  sl of 5665


targets 5627-5608(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5589-5571-5552-5533-5515.

Happy Trading !!!

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

S&P 500 View for 25.09.2012


Above 1464 its positive to reach earlier high and possible breakout...
Pivot at 1456 level to watch....
Breach of 1456 will take it to 1450...
Breach of 1450 will take it to possible downside level of 1439..

Happy Trading !!!

Nifty View for 26.09.2012


Nothing much happening today we are still at the same level from Monday plus 4 points. This second inside day compared to Friday. Postional levels are same to Monday.  As mentioned  yesterday pivot level was 5704 so below it touched the first support of 5665 on nifty futures which was missed yesterday.  Intraday traders can look at the levels on spot nifty to trade on Wednesday.


No trade between 5655 and 5693(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5693 sl of 5673


targets 5711-5730(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5749-5767-5787-5806-5826.


Sell below 5655  sl of 5675


targets 5637-5618(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5599-5581-5562-5543-5525.

Happy Trading !!!

Monday, September 24, 2012

Nifty View for 25.09.2012


Today was an inside day for the spot nifty as the range was between the Fridays range. Spot nifty closed in negative at 5669.60 with a net loss of 21 points. The trading range currently as shown in nifty futures chart above is 5625 to 5781. Today the futures closed at 5682.50. The pivot was at 5704 dipping below it the nifty futures were in negative zone. Futures had a low of 5675.50 and closed at the lower end of the range from 5728.90 high. The supports on futures are at 5665 and 5625. Nifty futures will need to cross the pivot of 5704 to be positive which is now the current resistance. Above 5704 the resistance are 5744 and 5783. Intraday players can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Tuesday.


No trade between 5651 and 5688(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5688 sl of 5668


targets 5707-5726(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5745-5764-5783-5802-5821.


Sell below 5650  sl of 5670


targets 5632-5613(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5594-5576-5557-5538-5520.

Happy Trading !!!

Nifty Intraday Update for 24.09.2012


Looks like a triangle formation...on 1 minute chart of future
watch the horizontal for breakdown..
or inclined one for breakout on the upside....

Happy Trading !!!

Sunday, September 23, 2012

Nifty View for 24.09.2012


Spot Nifty opened on Friday with a gap at 5577 and moved one way to make a high at 5720 and close the week at 5691.15. A huge breakout above the weekly close of 5577.65 which was a crucial level to watch. Also the level of 5650 which was the breakout above earlier high. Positional longs are now from 5630 and to be held with buying price as stop loss. On Nifty futures the level of 5625 was critical level which was taken out by the strong move on Friday to make a high of 5735.55 and closed at 5710. On charts of nifty futures the resistance is at 5744-5783 with 5704 as pivot and supports at 5665-5625. Intraday traders can watch the levels given below on spot nifty to trade on Monday.


No trade between 5672 and 5710(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5710 sl of 5690


targets 5729-5748(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5767-5786-5805-5824-5843.


Sell below 5672  sl of 5692


targets 5653-5635(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5616-5597-5578-5560-5541.

Happy Trading !!!



Friday, September 21, 2012

S & P 500 View for 21.09.2012


S&P 500 hit the bottom at 1451 and reversed from  the 61.8 % fibo level.
Resistance at 1465 and positive above it ...will try to take out the high of 1474...
Above 1474 target 1483-1492-1501.
Breach of 1451 will target our pending target of 1444.
Below 1451 target 1444-1437-1430.

Happy Trading !!!

Nifty View for 21.09.2012


Spot nifty opened gap down 5536.95 and then tried to recover the loss by making a high of 5581.35 and closing the day at 5554.25. Spot nifty has closed below the weekly close of 5577.65 which makes it weak. On the spot nifty it has supports at 5526.95 the low of last Friday. On nifty futures charts the after breach of 5625 level the support is 5546 and the next support below it as at 5469. Current trend is sideways to negative with nifty trying to consolidate at the top range of 5650-5550. Breach of 5550 will make it further weak and broaden the range down to 5450. Bullish trend could be expected to start above the level of 5625 till then positional players should sit out. Bearish trend will start with the breach of 5476. It will be interesting to watch the weekly close of above or below the level of 5577.65 on spot nifty. Intraday traders can look at the levels of spot nifty given below to trade on Friday.

No trade between 5536 and 5573(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5573 sl of 5553


targets 5591-5610(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5629-5648-5666-5685-5704.


Sell below 5536  sl of 5556


targets 5517-5498(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5480-5461-5443-5424-5406.

Happy Trading !!!




Thursday, September 20, 2012

Nifty Intraday Update for 20.09.2012


Nifty has opened below the big  green channel and its forming a resistance. Just watch it..

Nifty View for 20.09.2012


Sorry for the delay in updating this view due to festive season.  May Lord Ganesha bestow you the right knowledge in your life. Today nifty has opened gap down and in sync with our view earlier. The 5610 is the resistance for the short term with resistance at 5630. On the downside for nifty futures the 5524 and 5470 are the supports.Nifty has moved in the yellow channel as shown in charts. Moving above the channel top will be positive and staying within this channel shows sideways to negative trend for it. Positional stop loss is hit at 5610 so we wait for break out again above 5650 on the futures to enter again. Intraday traders can look at the levels given below considering the open of today on spot nifty .


No trade between 5518 and 5556(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5556 sl of 5536


targets 5574-5593(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5612-5630-5649-5668-5687.


Sell below 5518  sl of 5538


targets 5500-5481(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5463-5444-5426-5407-5389.

Happy Trading !!!



Tuesday, September 18, 2012

S & P 500 VIEW FOR 18.09.2012


S & P 500 found support at 1457..
Breach of it may take it to 1451-1444
Resistance at 1463 and above it will be positive...

Happy Trading !!!


Nifty View for Intraday 18.09.2012 Update 1


Watch the Dark Red Trend lines for further clues...

Happy Trading !!!

Nifty View for Intraday 18.09.2012


Nifty Futures chart for 5 minutes is attached above...
Some important level marked on the chart...
Break of the Red Channel will make Nifty Futures follow the Yellow channel...
Be cautious if the Yellow channel is broken...


Happy Trading !!!

Monday, September 17, 2012

S&P500 VIEW FOR 17.09.2012



S & P 500 is near intraday support of 1461 with next support at 1457. Breach of 1457 will lead to more downside...
possibly up to 1442 levels....


Happy Trading !!!

Nifty View for 18.09.2012


Today the reforms which were announced earlier showed their effect on the spot nifty and it opened with a fourth gap up at 5631.75 above the earlier swing high of 5630 which can be termed as a breakout technically. Spot nifty made a high and low of 5652.20 and 5585.15 respectively to close the day at 5610.00. It has left another gap of 8 points on the chart. The close above 5600 will be psychologically positive for the bulls. Now lets look at the big picture on charts of nifty future above. Nifty is near the 61.8 % retracement level from the top of 6338 to bottom of 4531. Also Bollinger bands show a resistance at the top of the band. The regression channels drawn on the chart show the earlier moves with the current which nearing the top of the channel. The red trend line drawn shows the probable resistance at the top. MACD is in positive zone but not convincing yet for a reversal and needs to be watched. Still no signs of any reversals are observed on charts to confirm it. So longs should be hold with some caution as mentioned above. The small gap of today if closed then nifty could correct more. So use this gap to hold longs. Above this level of 61.8 %  retracement the next level shown on chart is 80.9% which is at  5992 and intermediate resistance at 5728-5750.  The 78.6 % level is at 5945 not shown on charts. Weekly close of 5577.65 can be used as stop loss for positional longs. Intraday players can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Tuesday.

No trade between 5591 and 5629(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5629 sl of 5609


targets 5647-5666(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5685-5704-5722-5742-5761.


Sell below 5591  sl of 5609


targets 5573-5554(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5535-5517-5498-5479-5461.

Happy Trading !!!


Nifty Intraday Update for 17.09.2012

Today we have a gap up above the resistance of 5630 on spot nifty with a high of 5651.00.So positional players who are long are per this breakout should maintain a stop loss of 5610.

Happy Trading !!!

Sunday, September 16, 2012

S & P 500 update for 17.09.2012


1442 seems the critical level to be watched for short term reversal...
Fibo fans show resistance at 1500 levels at 50% fan line...
Some important levels are marked on chart for future trend..

Happy Trading !!!

Nifty View for 17.09.2012


Nifty opened with a big bang at 5528.35 and  made a high of 5586.65 after making a low of 5526.95 and closed the week at 5577.65.  This close is very near to 5629.95 made on February 22nd  2012 . The Indian reforms announced may the markets more positive and will also be sector specific. So we may get another gap up on Monday due it and will this gap clear the resistance of 5630 is to be seen.We are currently in the top band of the resistance zone  at 5630. Crossing this level will put nifty in to new territory or orbit. The important levels and supports are shown on the chart of nifty futures. Fibo fans show nifty at another critical level clearing it will make it more positive. So one should make hay while the sun shines. Positional traders long should hold their longs with 5550.50 as stop loss and can enter again on a breakout above 5625 if it comes. Intraday traders can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Monday.


No trade between 5559 and 5596(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5596 sl of 5576


targets 5615-5634(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5652-5670-5690-5709-5728.


Sell below 5559  sl of 5579


targets 5540-5522(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5503-5485-5466-5448-5429.

Happy Trading !!!


Thursday, September 13, 2012

Nifty View for 14.09.2012


Spot nifty stayed within the range of 26 points with  the open and close same ie a Doji Candle. Today was the day for the weak hands to be shaken off their positions in the markets. The trick by the market makers is try to shake out the investors out of their positions by keeping a tight range on markets for a day or two and weak hands give the trade in their  hands and play to their tunes. This was also a pause in anticipation of big news from FED in US . As the cat is out of bag now and QE3 being announced result is the US markets are hung ho about it. So can we expect a big bang opening for our markets tomorrow on Friday is to be seen. Being a weekly close we need to see if the gains are sustained for the weekly close. So yet another eventful weekly close on hand. Positional traders who were long from 5402.50 may gain the most if we have a big gap opening. On futures charts above the 5468 level we have targets of  5546. On nifty futures 5521-5546 are the level to watch on the upside as resistance where profit booking make take place if they come. Intraday traders can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Friday. 

No trade between 5417 and 5454(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5454 sl of 5434


targets 5474-5494(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5514-5535-5556-5577-5598.


Sell below 5417  sl of 5437


targets 5397-5378(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5359-5340-5321-5301-5283.

Happy Trading !!!

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

S&P 500 Update for 12.09.2012


S & P 500 did come near the 1428 level but could breach it.Currently the momentum is sideways with resistance at 1440 level.The standard error channel show a range of 1455 at higher end and 1421 at lower end with the central point at 1438 level. So above the 1438 targets of 1455 look achievable and dipping below the level of 1438 make it suspectible to 1421 levels.

Happy Tradings !!!

NIFTY VIEW FOR 13.09.2012


Spot nifty opened today with a gap at 5404.45 and did not fully close the gap and moved up for the day after making a bottom at 5393.95. The day high came in at 5435.45 and closed the day at 5431.00. A strong close for it as it is the highest close after 14 March 2012 which was at 5463.90. Today we crossed our resistance of 5402.50 and are now positionally long with it. Positional players can hold with same stop loss with target of 5476.00. On futures chart we are at the higher end of the resistance zone between 5392 to 5462. So some profit booking may emerge at higher levels of this band. On futures above 5476 we may target the 5500-5520 zone. Caution is warranted at higher end of this zone for nifty futures and be prepared for a reversal as when it happens. Intraday traders can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Thursday.

No trade between 5413 and 5449(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5449 sl of 5429


targets 5469-5489(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5509-5530-5551-5572-5593.


Sell below 5413  sl of 5433


targets 5394-5375(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5356-5337-5318-5299-5281.

Happy Trading !!!

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Nifty View for 12.09.2012


Spot nifty opened today with with gap down and was buying opportunity around 5330-530 levels. The gap was closed soon and recovery on the upside was seen till the end of the day. On charts of nifty futures shown above nifty has entered the congestion zone of 5390-5461. Expect some reversal or sideways action in this zone. Nifty futures need to clear this zone and move on the upside to reach the earlier swing high. Falling below this zone will make nifty prone to 5330-5300 levels again. Expect some profit booking in this zone.  Intraday traders can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Wednesday.

No trade between 5372 and 5408(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5408 sl of 5388


targets 5428-5448(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5468-5488-5508-5529-5550.


Sell below 5372  sl of 5392


targets 5353-5334(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5315-5297-5279-5261-5243.

Happy Trading !!!

Monday, September 10, 2012

Nifty View for 11.09.2012


Spot Nifty was sideways for the day after the big run up on Friday and a dull Saturday. Today intraday traders may have hit stop loss at regular interval. The day marked the range from 5375 to 5349 a mere 26 points for a whole trading day. So the momentum looked stalled for the day and a resistance area as suggested near 5392 in earlier post. But a close above 5350 is still positive for the index. For tomorrow if it dips below 5350 again then a correction to 5315-5320 levels could be expected. Sustaining above 5350 will add momentum on the upside to our resistance level of 5402.50 on the spot nifty. On nifty futures chart we have resistance at 5391 and support at 5312 as shown above. So the critical level on downside is 5312 for the trend to be positive. Trend player can hold longs with 5312 as stop loss. Intraday traders can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Tuesday.

No trade between 5345 and 5382(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5382 sl of 5362


targets 5401-5421(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5441-5461-5481-5501-5521.


Sell below 5345  sl of 5365


targets 5326-5307(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5288-5270-5252-5234-5216.


Happy Trading !!!

Sunday, September 9, 2012

S & P 500 FOR 10.09.2012


S & P 500 5 mins chart shows consolidation zones at higher levels..
Supports at 1435 and 1428..
Breach of 1428 may lead to 1422 -1414 levels..

Happy Trading !!!

Nifty View for 10.09.2012


Friday was a big breakout on the spot nifty with a gap of 70 points at 5309.45 making a high of 5347.15 and closed the day at 5342.10. Saturday was a curtailed trading session as there is no volumes in such sessions hence no update was provided for the same. Saturday spot nifty closed the day at 5358.70 and moved within a narrow range of 23 points for the day. Spot nifty has closed the week above the level of 5350 which is significant. Now the level of 5329 should be watched as support and 5402.50 as resistance. Breaking above 5402.50 level will make the recovery more meaningful and nifty will make further increment on the upside. On nifty futures chart fibo clusters show a resistance zone from 5359 to 5462 with 5392 as the first resistance. Trend players can hold nifty after his breakout with stop of 5329 for targets of 5402.50 and 5476 on the upside. Intraday players can look at the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Monday.

No trade between 5340 and 5377(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5377 sl of 5357


targets 5396-5415(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5435-5455-5475-5495-5515.


Sell below 5340  sl of 5360


targets 5321-5302(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5290-5262-5244-5226-5208.



Happy Trading !!!

Friday, September 7, 2012

S&P 500 update 06.09.2012


Took support at the Fibo Fans 50% level..
Resistance at 1432.95 and support at 1422.66


Happy Trading !!!

NIFTY VIEW FOR 07.09.2012


Spot nifty again open gap down today at 5217.65 and that was the low for the day. It recovered soon after moving up and down the yesterday's close line and made a high at 5260.60 but pared the gains at close of the day to finish at 5238.40. A positive day with small gains but the momentum looks wanning as the bottoms being made near to 5200-5225 levels. The level of 5200 if maintained will mark some recovery for the index as while writing this article the US markets are very strong today. So opening with gap up is possible for the day. If spot nifty closes above the 5257 level then a short term bottom is likely to be made and a close above 5300 level will confirm it. On nifty future charts positive divergence on MACD is seen it remains to be seen how soon it gives the results for the same. Earlier negative divergence has given the fall which can be seen on chart above. The level to watch is 5321 on nifty future crossing it will launch the recovery stage with next resistances at 5352 and 5402.50 . Trend players still need to sit out for more confirmation after recovery starts. As always Friday weekly close is important and close above 5300 will be a relief for bulls after being hammered for last few days.  Intraday traders can watch the levels on spot nifty given below to trade on Friday.

No trade between 5220 and 5257(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5257 sl of 5237


targets 5275-5293(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5311-5330-5349-5368-5387.


Sell below 5220  sl of 5240


targets 5202-5184(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5166-5148-5130-5112-5096.


Happy Trading !!!



Thursday, September 6, 2012

S&P500 Intraday Update



Momentum wanning ..
On Fibo Fans price below the 38.2 % level...
support at Fibo ext 161.8% level @ 1422.66 and Fibo Fan 50%...

Happy Trading !!!!


Nifty View for 06.09.2012


Spot Nifty today could not sustain the rise of yesterday and opened gap down of 30 points and made low at another 30 points down and closed shops at 5225.70. Spot nifty has been making lower lows day by day which is making the recovery very difficult job for it. Today it has closed below 5257 our pivot support which makes it very weak. Next support is at 5184 on spot nifty which will be the final test of bull power. On nifty futures chart some important levels as per Murrey Maths are given. Today nifty future is supported the 5234 level an important level as per this system. Breach of this level may take it to the next lower level at 5156 as shown on charts. If nifty future respects this support level then the next target on the upside is 5312.50. Intraday traders can watch the levels given for spot nifty to trade on Thursday.

No trade between 5208 and 5244(To avoid whipsaws)


Buy above 5244 sl of 5224


targets 5262-5280(add positions, breakout on the upside),


5298-5316-5335-5354-5373.


Sell below 5208  sl of 5228


targets 5190-5172(add positions,breakout on the downside)


5154-5136-5118-5100-5083.


Happy Trading !!!

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