Monday, September 19, 2011

SEASONAL CHANGES ON NIFTY

Seasonal changes occur in nature and we have four seasons Spring,Summer,Autumn and Winter.We can compare this to full circle of 360 degrees with each season being 90 degrees.The important dates to watch for seasonal changes are :
1) The winter quarter begins December 22 & 15 days from from this date is January 5th or 6th , which are always important dates to watch at the begining of the year as stocks after make extreme high or extreme low around this dates.When stocks make low in December just before or after the 22nd, a January rise usually follows.
2) February 5th is 45 days from December 22 and minor changes takes place around this date and sometimes, very important tops and bottoms are formed.
3) March 21 is 90 days from December 22nd. This is the date when the Sun crosses the Equator & Spring begins.The Spring rally in the stock market often starts around this date or culminates,if stocks have been advancing previous to this date.
4)May 6 is 46 days from March 21st ,and equals 135 days from December 22nd.Watch for important changes in trend around this date.
5) June 22nd is 93 days from 21st March, which equals 90 degree and of course, it is opposite December 22nd & is important for seasonal changes, as Summer begins at this date.
July 7 th is 17 days from June 22nd & 6 months or 180 days from January 7th.July being a dividend month advances or declines often culminate around this date an important change in trend takes place.It is the next important date to watch after June 22nd.
6) August 8th is 47 days from June 22nd but the Sun has moved only 45 degrees angle.This is very important date for change in trend & you should watch stocks that make tops and bottoms around this date.
7)September 23rd is 93 days from June 22nd, but the Earth or Sun have only travelled 90 degrees.The Sun crosses the Equator at this time and is 180 degrees or opposite the point where it crossed the Equator on March 21st.Fall begins at this date and stocks make important change of trend.
8)November 8th is 46 days from September 23rd and equals 45 degree.You will find by checking over the records that most important tops and bottoms & changes in trend occur around this date.
9)December 22nd is 91 days from September 23rd & 6 months or 180 days from June 22nd.This is where Winter begins & it is important to watch for important changes in trends.
This completes the seasonal change for the year.Now in the context of Nifty I believe we completed one circle of 360 degrees on November 8th 2010.,so this will be our zero degree point start of the fall.In the diagram I have marked the 360 degress for Nifty.So it it imperative to watch this dates and degrees.Currently we are approaching 315 degrees on Nifty on September 23rd.Naturally this becomes an important date to watch for change in trend.

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